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A Beat That Cut the Outlook: What Mattel's Q3 Says About Holiday Toy Demand
Mattel reported Q3 net sales of $1.81 billion and adjusted EPS of $1.30, beating profit expectations, but cut its 2026 sales outlook to 1%–4% growth as point-of-sale trends softened into Q4. The $88 million tariff-refund boost to margins is a one-off, and category demand is split — vehicles strong, dolls and preschool weak. Wholesale buyers should plan a value-sensitive holiday around proven sellers and keep costing at duties actually collected.
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